3.10 2025 — Elite Division (Tier 1)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | Cape Town Capers            | 11-5   | 1        |   3251.06 | 1       |  203.19 |  +476.14
#2   | Fairhope Dongles            | 10-6   | 2        |   2946.99 | 4       |  184.19 |  +157.10
#3   | Abu Dhabi Astronauts        | 10-6   | 3        |   2755.66 | 8       |  172.23 |   -62.12
#4   | Birmingham Maulers          | 9-7    | 4        |   3240.72 | 2       |  202.54 |  +303.19
#5   | Dodge City Drug Runners     | 9-7    | 5        |   2867.83 | 6       |  179.24 |  -119.63
#6   | Houston Diablos             | 8-8    | 6        |   3032.40 | 3       |  189.53 |  +121.97
#7   | New Orleans Hurricanes      | 8-8    | 7        |   2777.02 | 7       |  173.56 |   -85.18
#8   | El Paso Pythons             | 7-9    | 8        |   2943.37 | 5       |  183.96 |  -133.89
#9   | Montgomery Murkers          | 4-12   | 9        |   2519.90 | 9       |  157.49 |  -302.19
#10  | Damascus Jerboas            | 4-12   | 10       |   2404.95 | 10      |  150.31 |  -355.39

Week 14 byes (constructed): Cape Town Capers and Fairhope Dongles sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
Cape Town Capers 193.79 219.29 W (vs Fairhope Dongles)
Fairhope Dongles 161.06 202.86 L (vs Cape Town Capers)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • Cape Town Capers (219.29): QB: Josh Allen (40.8), RB: James Cook (10.1), RB: Quinshon Judkins (9.4), WR: Puka Nacua (35.7), WR: CeeDee Lamb (18.1), WR: Chimere Dike (13.4), TE: Trey McBride (10.8), FLEX: Rashee Rice (7.4), IDP_FLEX: Roquan Smith (12.0), K: Tyler Loop (10.0), DEF: HOU D/ST (18.6), DL: Maxx Crosby (13.0), LB: Zack Baun (10.9), DB: Nick Cross (9.0)
  • Fairhope Dongles (202.86): QB: Shedeur Sanders (36.5), RB: De'Von Achane (17.5), RB: Jaylen Warren (15.2), WR: Michael Wilson (38.2), WR: Michael Pittman (17.9), WR: Ja'Marr Chase (10.2), TE: AJ Barner (5.7), FLEX: Chris Godwin (10.5), IDP_FLEX: T.J. Watt (8.5), K: Evan McPherson (4.0), DEF: PHI D/ST (22.2), DL: Aidan Hutchinson (3.5), LB: Ernest Jones (11.0), DB: Nahshon Wright (2.0)

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 Cape Town Capers (178.48)  vs  #2 Fairhope Dongles (184.82)  | Fairhope Dongles: 1st, Cape Town Capers: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 Abu Dhabi Astronauts (172.19)  vs  #4 Birmingham Maulers (189.23)| Birmingham Maulers: 3rd, Abu Dhabi Astronauts: 4th
Top half                  | #5 Dodge City Drug Runners (174.33)  vs  #6 Houston Diablos (190.92)| Houston Diablos: 5th, Dodge City Drug Runners: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 New Orleans Hurricanes (201.84)  vs  #8 El Paso Pythons (151.08)| New Orleans Hurricanes: 7th, El Paso Pythons: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Montgomery Murkers (91.00)  vs  #10 Damascus Jerboas (97.40) | Damascus Jerboas: 9th, Montgomery Murkers: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cape Town Capers            |   1 |   1 |   2 |    4 |     1 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Fairhope Dongles            |   2 |   4 |   1 |    7 |     2 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers          |   4 |   2 |   3 |    9 |     3 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Houston Diablos             |   6 |   3 |   5 |   14 |     4 | ✅ Safe
Abu Dhabi Astronauts        |   3 |   8 |   4 |   15 |     5 | ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners     |   5 |   6 |   6 |   17 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
El Paso Pythons             |   8 |   5 |   8 |   21 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
New Orleans Hurricanes      |   7 |   7 |   7 |   21 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Montgomery Murkers          |   9 |   9 |  10 |   28 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
Damascus Jerboas            |  10 |  10 |   9 |   29 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ New Orleans Hurricanes, Montgomery Murkers, Damascus Jerboas drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was Fairhope Dongles — the new format agrees: they win the #1v#2 Showdown (184.82 pts in Week 17).
  • Relegation: the old system relegated Damascus Jerboas, Montgomery Murkers. New AFP bottom 3 = Damascus Jerboas, Montgomery Murkers, New Orleans Hurricanes — overlaps with history on Damascus Jerboas, Montgomery Murkers; New Orleans Hurricanes would newly drop (they actually survived).
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
Cape Town Capers 93.33 1 Stayed 4 1 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Fairhope Dongles 83.33 2 Stayed 7 2 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers 76.67 3 Stayed 9 3 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Houston Diablos 73.33 4 Stayed 14 4 ✅ Safe
Abu Dhabi Astronauts 66.67 5 Stayed 15 5 ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners 40.00 7 Stayed 17 6 ⚠️ Bubble
El Paso Pythons 56.67 6 Stayed 21 7 ⚠️ Bubble
New Orleans Hurricanes 30.00 8 Stayed 21 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Montgomery Murkers 20.00 9 Relegated to Second 28 9 ❌ RELEGATED
Damascus Jerboas 10.00 10 Relegated to Second 29 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['El Paso Pythons', 'New Orleans Hurricanes'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 Cape Town Capers 192.9 220.3 174.1 240.8 170.2 132.7 215.4 198.0 196.1 184.1 239.3 201.0 230.2 219.3* 255.1 181.5 178.5
#2 Fairhope Dongles 149.8 167.7 198.0 181.1 203.7 162.6 182.8 172.8 209.3 165.1 155.8 182.7 233.4 202.9* 192.9 186.7 184.8
#3 Abu Dhabi Astronauts 180.4 157.2 168.9 176.6 200.1 210.1 144.2 196.4 158.9 176.6 149.6 150.3 161.3 212.3 145.4 167.4 172.2
#4 Birmingham Maulers 182.0 194.3 199.0 172.7 192.8 228.6 266.6 173.2 215.3 256.5 174.0 242.0 148.6 170.5 227.2 197.3 189.2
#5 Dodge City Drug Runners 217.6 173.8 133.5 149.6 177.0 119.4 220.2 173.1 177.8 171.1 162.0 175.3 178.0 215.3 222.7 201.5 174.3
#6 Houston Diablos 195.9 249.6 237.9 197.3 160.0 196.1 175.9 121.3 209.7 227.8 190.1 158.5 175.6 192.6 181.8 162.3 190.9
#7 New Orleans Hurricanes 154.7 183.4 187.2 164.0 203.5 196.4 133.5 191.6 177.7 138.1 142.2 165.1 157.3 158.9 183.9 239.4 201.8
#8 El Paso Pythons 182.4 134.4 209.8 184.0 181.6 156.2 203.0 176.9 149.4 212.6 185.1 219.1 170.5 191.0 203.1 184.3 151.1
#9 Montgomery Murkers 153.6 166.0 171.0 188.7 161.2 164.7 170.9 176.2 114.1 151.1 178.9 174.2 160.1 148.1 134.6 106.5 91.0
#10 Damascus Jerboas 169.9 159.0 162.5 148.2 184.2 113.0 143.5 146.4 170.0 161.2 144.1 152.9 167.9 128.4 114.8 138.8 97.4