3.7 2024 — Elite Division (Tier 1)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | New Orleans Hurricanes      | 12-4   | 1        |   3181.98 | 1       |  198.87 |  +341.85
#2   | Birmingham Maulers          | 12-4   | 2        |   3135.16 | 3       |  195.95 |  +336.30
#3   | Montgomery Murkers          | 11-5   | 3        |   2945.26 | 6       |  184.08 |  +112.85
#4   | Huntsville Hitmen           | 10-6   | 4        |   2976.47 | 5       |  186.03 |  +239.19
#5   | El Paso Pythons             | 9-7    | 5        |   3177.58 | 2       |  198.60 |  +190.61
#6   | Dodge City Drug Runners     | 7-9    | 6        |   3005.24 | 4       |  187.83 |  -109.39
#7   | Fairhope Dongles            | 6-10   | 7        |   2849.34 | 7       |  178.08 |  -166.78
#8   | Damascus Jerboas            | 5-11   | 8        |   2607.08 | 8       |  162.94 |  -239.98
#9   | Tuscaloosa Titans           | 5-11   | 9        |   2547.21 | 9       |  159.20 |  -354.08
#10  | San Diego Bullshitters      | 3-13   | 10       |   2505.70 | 10      |  156.61 |  -350.57

Week 14 byes (constructed): Birmingham Maulers and New Orleans Hurricanes sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
Birmingham Maulers 0.00 213.27 L (vs New Orleans Hurricanes)
New Orleans Hurricanes 211.50 217.50 W (vs Birmingham Maulers)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • Birmingham Maulers (213.27): QB: Jalen Hurts (25.2), RB: Zach Charbonnet (38.3), RB: Bucky Irving (2.8), WR: Khalil Shakir (21.6), WR: Drake London (13.0), WR: Keenan Allen (6.0), TE: Brock Bowers (9.2), FLEX: Ja'Marr Chase (46.1), IDP_FLEX: Josey Jewell (22.2), DEF: MIN D/ST (6.8), LB: T.J. Watt (7.0), DB: DeShon Elliott (15.0) [empty: K, DL]
  • New Orleans Hurricanes (217.50): QB: Baker Mayfield (22.0), RB: James Conner (22.2), RB: Braelon Allen (12.1), WR: Puka Nacua (41.8), WR: Jaylen Waddle (20.9), WR: Jerry Jeudy (17.4), TE: Trey McBride (14.0), FLEX: Jake Ferguson (6.2), IDP_FLEX: Eric Kendricks (14.0), K: Brandon Aubrey (10.2), DEF: PIT D/ST (14.7), LB: Harold Landry (9.0), DB: Taylor Rapp (13.0) [empty: DL]

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 New Orleans Hurricanes (230.12)  vs  #2 Birmingham Maulers (180.12)| New Orleans Hurricanes: 1st, Birmingham Maulers: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 Montgomery Murkers (196.88)  vs  #4 Huntsville Hitmen (186.78)| Montgomery Murkers: 3rd, Huntsville Hitmen: 4th
Top half                  | #5 El Paso Pythons (158.85)  vs  #6 Dodge City Drug Runners (203.40)| Dodge City Drug Runners: 5th, El Paso Pythons: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 Fairhope Dongles (149.30)  vs  #8 Damascus Jerboas (157.80)  | Damascus Jerboas: 7th, Fairhope Dongles: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Tuscaloosa Titans (159.18)  vs  #10 San Diego Bullshitters (183.34)| San Diego Bullshitters: 9th, Tuscaloosa Titans: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New Orleans Hurricanes      |   1 |   1 |   1 |    3 |     1 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers          |   2 |   3 |   2 |    7 |     2 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Montgomery Murkers          |   3 |   6 |   3 |   12 |     3 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons             |   5 |   2 |   6 |   13 |     4 | ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen           |   4 |   5 |   4 |   13 |     5 | ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners     |   6 |   4 |   5 |   15 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
Fairhope Dongles            |   7 |   7 |   8 |   22 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
Damascus Jerboas            |   8 |   8 |   7 |   23 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Tuscaloosa Titans           |   9 |   9 |  10 |   28 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
San Diego Bullshitters      |  10 |  10 |   9 |   29 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ Damascus Jerboas, Tuscaloosa Titans, San Diego Bullshitters drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was New Orleans Hurricanes — the new format agrees: they win the #1v#2 Showdown (230.12 pts in Week 17).
  • Relegation: the old system relegated San Diego Bullshitters, Tuscaloosa Titans and Huntsville Hitmen left the league (franchise exit, not AFP relegation). New AFP bottom 3 = Damascus Jerboas, San Diego Bullshitters, Tuscaloosa Titans — overlaps with history on San Diego Bullshitters, Tuscaloosa Titans; Damascus Jerboas would newly drop (they actually survived); Huntsville Hitmen would have been spared.
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
New Orleans Hurricanes 96.67 1 Stayed 3 1 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers 86.67 2 Stayed 7 2 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Montgomery Murkers 63.33 4 Stayed 12 3 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons 80.00 3 Stayed 13 4 ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen 63.33 5 Left league 13 5 ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners 60.00 6 Stayed 15 6 ⚠️ Bubble
Fairhope Dongles 30.00 7 Stayed 22 7 ⚠️ Bubble
Damascus Jerboas 26.67 8 Stayed 23 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Tuscaloosa Titans 20.00 10 Relegated to Second 28 9 ❌ RELEGATED
San Diego Bullshitters 23.33 9 Relegated to Second 29 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['El Paso Pythons', 'Huntsville Hitmen'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 New Orleans Hurricanes 204.2 195.9 138.9 189.7 185.1 204.7 197.6 181.0 182.2 203.4 202.3 228.5 208.0 217.5* 238.8 204.2 230.1
#2 Birmingham Maulers 126.3 154.5 214.2 173.9 233.1 201.9 169.2 225.1 179.0 221.9 204.3 172.3 237.7 213.3* 189.8 218.6 180.1
#3 Montgomery Murkers 168.2 242.1 191.9 182.6 247.2 180.0 156.7 188.8 189.1 184.0 159.8 160.0 158.2 178.5 174.0 184.3 196.9
#4 Huntsville Hitmen 180.3 178.0 144.8 121.5 167.7 217.1 169.9 224.5 233.5 165.6 179.4 251.6 193.7 216.8 185.7 146.5 186.8
#5 El Paso Pythons 195.5 194.9 169.0 173.7 184.8 244.3 235.1 210.0 238.5 151.6 204.2 175.2 204.4 204.7 176.8 214.8 158.8
#6 Dodge City Drug Runners 170.5 197.5 192.2 164.6 168.4 156.1 183.8 154.0 223.8 146.8 216.2 239.2 183.3 209.1 175.7 224.0 203.4
#7 Fairhope Dongles 169.7 169.5 152.4 185.6 223.0 135.9 201.5 156.6 125.9 179.6 201.4 214.4 206.2 127.0 209.8 191.0 149.3
#8 Damascus Jerboas 155.7 215.2 172.1 173.8 134.0 182.1 132.2 153.0 189.3 170.8 176.5 140.7 148.8 173.7 141.9 147.3 157.8
#9 Tuscaloosa Titans 169.9 139.2 142.9 180.8 148.7 124.1 118.0 181.5 174.4 155.2 129.7 152.9 158.6 201.9 200.1 169.2 159.2
#10 San Diego Bullshitters 146.8 180.8 166.6 172.2 183.5 170.5 95.7 192.2 152.9 168.1 144.8 138.2 153.0 157.3 150.4 132.9 183.3