3.6 2023 — Third Division (Tier 3)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | Gainesville Biscuit Boyz    | 12-4   | 1        |   2193.70 | 2       |  137.11 |  +321.16
#2   | Houston Diablos             | 12-4   | 2        |   2152.18 | 4       |  134.51 |    +4.18
#3   | Sulligent Suckles           | 10-6   | 3        |   2279.58 | 1       |  142.47 |   +70.12
#4   | Wichita Scouts              | 9-7    | 4        |   2155.12 | 3       |  134.69 |  +170.40
#5   | Topeka Toes                 | 9-7    | 5        |   2056.06 | 5       |  128.50 |  +205.22
#6   | Classic City Cattlemen      | 7-9    | 6        |   1892.10 | 8       |  118.26 |   -88.42
#7   | Jacksonville Golden Panthers| 7-9    | 7        |   1635.90 | 10      |  102.24 |  -245.20
#8   | Norwalk Creatures           | 5-11   | 8        |   2041.74 | 6       |  127.61 |   -64.64
#9   | Orlando Ocelots             | 5-11   | 9        |   1965.92 | 7       |  122.87 |  -116.30
#10  | Seattle Stingers            | 4-12   | 10       |   1811.00 | 9       |  113.19 |  -256.52

Week 14 byes (constructed): Gainesville Biscuit Boyz and Sulligent Suckles sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
Gainesville Biscuit Boyz 110.38 152.86 W (vs Sulligent Suckles)
Sulligent Suckles 134.02 139.72 L (vs Gainesville Biscuit Boyz)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • Gainesville Biscuit Boyz (152.86): QB: Russell Wilson (17.5), RB: Tyjae Spears (16.8), RB: Alvin Kamara (13.5), WR: Odell Beckham (19.7), WR: A.J. Brown (16.4), TE: Isaiah Likely (19.3), FLEX: Deebo Samuel (34.0), K: Jason Sanders (7.1), DEF: IND D/ST (8.6)
  • Sulligent Suckles (139.72): QB: Josh Allen (21.5), RB: Saquon Barkley (23.1), RB: Christian McCaffrey (16.3), WR: Garrett Wilson (20.1), WR: Jakobi Meyers (7.5), TE: Jake Ferguson (12.2), FLEX: Joe Mixon (21.5), K: Jake Elliott (10.6), DEF: GB D/ST (6.9)

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 Gainesville Biscuit Boyz (126.68)  vs  #2 Houston Diablos (212.84)| Houston Diablos: 1st, Gainesville Biscuit Boyz: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 Sulligent Suckles (109.26)  vs  #4 Wichita Scouts (105.00)   | Sulligent Suckles: 3rd, Wichita Scouts: 4th
Top half                  | #5 Topeka Toes (109.90)  vs  #6 Classic City Cattlemen (107.62) | Topeka Toes: 5th, Classic City Cattlemen: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 Jacksonville Golden Panthers (27.68)  vs  #8 Norwalk Creatures (114.20)| Norwalk Creatures: 7th, Jacksonville Golden Panthers: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Orlando Ocelots (128.48)  vs  #10 Seattle Stingers (148.62)  | Seattle Stingers: 9th, Orlando Ocelots: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gainesville Biscuit Boyz    |   1 |   2 |   2 |    5 |     1 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Sulligent Suckles           |   3 |   1 |   3 |    7 |     2 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Houston Diablos             |   2 |   4 |   1 |    7 |     3 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Wichita Scouts              |   4 |   3 |   4 |   11 |     4 | ✅ Safe
Topeka Toes                 |   5 |   5 |   5 |   15 |     5 | ✅ Safe
Classic City Cattlemen      |   6 |   8 |   6 |   20 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
Norwalk Creatures           |   8 |   6 |   7 |   21 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
Jacksonville Golden Panthers|   7 |  10 |   8 |   25 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Orlando Ocelots             |   9 |   7 |  10 |   26 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
Seattle Stingers            |  10 |   9 |   9 |   28 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ Jacksonville Golden Panthers, Orlando Ocelots, Seattle Stingers drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was Houston Diablos — the new format agrees: they win the #1v#2 Showdown (212.84 pts in Week 17).
  • Relegation: Classic City Cattlemen, Orlando Ocelots left the league (franchise exit, not AFP relegation). New AFP bottom 3 = Jacksonville Golden Panthers, Orlando Ocelots, Seattle Stingers — overlaps with history on Orlando Ocelots; Jacksonville Golden Panthers, Seattle Stingers would newly drop (they actually survived); Classic City Cattlemen would have been spared.
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
Gainesville Biscuit Boyz 93.33 1 Promoted to Second 5 1 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
Sulligent Suckles 90.00 2 Promoted to Second 7 2 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Houston Diablos 86.67 3 Promoted to Second 7 3 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Wichita Scouts 70.00 4 Stayed 11 4 ✅ Safe
Topeka Toes 60.00 5 Promoted to Second 15 5 ✅ Safe
Classic City Cattlemen 30.00 8 Left league 20 6 ⚠️ Bubble
Norwalk Creatures 36.67 6 Promoted to Second 21 7 ⚠️ Bubble
Jacksonville Golden Panthers 36.67 7 Stayed 25 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Orlando Ocelots 20.00 10 Left league 26 9 ❌ RELEGATED
Seattle Stingers 26.67 9 Stayed 28 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['Sulligent Suckles', 'Houston Diablos'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 Gainesville Biscuit Boyz 99.3 106.4 167.2 174.1 119.3 147.7 149.7 152.4 121.7 113.0 99.3 162.0 161.1 152.9* 152.4 115.2 126.7
#2 Houston Diablos 94.9 124.6 108.6 133.1 100.4 135.3 153.4 137.9 137.9 137.8 137.4 168.0 163.4 112.2 183.3 124.0 212.8
#3 Sulligent Suckles 149.1 170.8 134.2 150.1 113.8 111.6 148.1 149.9 127.6 148.6 142.3 160.9 136.5 139.7* 136.0 160.5 109.3
#4 Wichita Scouts 125.8 126.1 116.5 142.2 146.6 108.3 113.4 134.8 109.3 170.8 145.0 140.5 152.2 160.2 120.8 142.7 105.0
#5 Topeka Toes 131.7 121.8 161.0 85.9 191.9 111.1 113.5 158.9 100.5 83.6 173.8 129.9 150.9 113.5 145.2 83.0 109.9
#6 Classic City Cattlemen 80.9 98.1 104.9 97.1 105.4 148.4 152.4 115.1 116.2 125.3 129.8 140.0 113.7 144.0 86.0 134.7 107.6
#7 Jacksonville Golden Panthers 67.2 95.8 115.8 88.7 162.8 117.4 70.7 125.3 127.8 126.1 115.3 91.1 131.7 86.6 90.1 23.6 27.7
#8 Norwalk Creatures 135.3 152.6 217.4 94.3 87.5 128.9 139.9 84.0 101.1 136.7 128.0 133.8 130.5 150.9 113.1 107.6 114.2
#9 Orlando Ocelots 121.5 140.9 130.3 150.1 94.3 141.1 123.2 110.8 104.2 114.9 94.0 103.0 131.7 141.0 142.8 122.1 128.5
#10 Seattle Stingers 151.8 91.7 110.1 134.3 165.7 106.9 82.5 123.2 164.3 130.5 78.6 112.4 115.4 98.1 78.6 66.9 148.6