3.4 2023 — Elite Division (Tier 1)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | San Diego Bullshitters      | 12-4   | 1        |   3168.56 | 1       |  198.03 |  +339.73
#2   | El Paso Pythons             | 10-6   | 2        |   2956.66 | 5       |  184.79 |    -4.33
#3   | Huntsville Hitmen           | 9-7    | 3        |   3067.12 | 2       |  191.69 |   +91.05
#4   | New Orleans Hurricanes      | 9-7    | 4        |   3010.93 | 4       |  188.18 |   +48.86
#5   | Birmingham Maulers          | 8-8    | 5        |   2938.74 | 6       |  183.67 |  -112.71
#6   | Tuscaloosa Titans           | 8-8    | 6        |   2778.99 | 8       |  173.69 |  -100.97
#7   | Dodge City Drug Runners     | 7-9    | 7        |   3016.59 | 3       |  188.54 |   +72.94
#8   | Montgomery Murkers          | 7-9    | 8        |   2799.68 | 7       |  174.98 |    +3.44
#9   | Abu Dhabi Astronauts        | 7-9    | 9        |   2764.67 | 9       |  172.79 |   -43.61
#10  | Cape Town Capers            | 3-13   | 10       |   2756.21 | 10      |  172.26 |  -294.40

Week 14 byes (constructed): New Orleans Hurricanes and San Diego Bullshitters sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
New Orleans Hurricanes 211.82 227.22 L (vs San Diego Bullshitters)
San Diego Bullshitters 221.06 232.06 W (vs New Orleans Hurricanes)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • New Orleans Hurricanes (227.22): QB: Brock Purdy (23.4), RB: James Cook (25.1), RB: Rachaad White (20.5), WR: DJ Moore (26.8), WR: Michael Pittman (19.5), WR: Courtland Sutton (15.2), TE: Dallas Goedert (7.0), FLEX: Austin Ekeler (22.0), IDP_FLEX: Alex Singleton (23.6), K: Brandon McManus (3.0), DEF: BUF D/ST (12.1), DL: DeForest Buckner (10.0), LB: Zaire Franklin (16.0), DB: Reed Blankenship (3.0)
  • San Diego Bullshitters (232.06): QB: Matthew Stafford (26.7), RB: Christian McCaffrey (17.3), RB: Jerick McKinnon (12.7), WR: Deebo Samuel (34.0), WR: DeAndre Hopkins (25.4), WR: Wan'Dale Robinson (17.5), TE: Cole Kmet (11.6), FLEX: Rashee Rice (18.2), IDP_FLEX: Haason Reddick (17.2), K: Jason Myers (5.0), DEF: NYJ D/ST (21.9), LB: Tremaine Edmunds (16.6), DB: Rayshawn Jenkins (8.0) [empty: DL]

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 San Diego Bullshitters (179.88)  vs  #2 El Paso Pythons (168.58)| San Diego Bullshitters: 1st, El Paso Pythons: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 Huntsville Hitmen (132.46)  vs  #4 New Orleans Hurricanes (177.86)| New Orleans Hurricanes: 3rd, Huntsville Hitmen: 4th
Top half                  | #5 Birmingham Maulers (229.60)  vs  #6 Tuscaloosa Titans (190.12)| Birmingham Maulers: 5th, Tuscaloosa Titans: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 Dodge City Drug Runners (260.94)  vs  #8 Montgomery Murkers (167.44)| Dodge City Drug Runners: 7th, Montgomery Murkers: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Abu Dhabi Astronauts (188.68)  vs  #10 Cape Town Capers (139.40)| Abu Dhabi Astronauts: 9th, Cape Town Capers: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Diego Bullshitters      |   1 |   1 |   1 |    3 |     1 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen           |   3 |   2 |   4 |    9 |     2 | ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons             |   2 |   5 |   2 |    9 |     3 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
New Orleans Hurricanes      |   4 |   4 |   3 |   11 |     4 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers          |   5 |   6 |   5 |   16 |     5 | ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners     |   7 |   3 |   7 |   17 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
Tuscaloosa Titans           |   6 |   8 |   6 |   20 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
Montgomery Murkers          |   8 |   7 |   8 |   23 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Abu Dhabi Astronauts        |   9 |   9 |   9 |   27 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
Cape Town Capers            |  10 |  10 |  10 |   30 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ Montgomery Murkers, Abu Dhabi Astronauts, Cape Town Capers drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was San Diego Bullshitters — the new format agrees: they win the #1v#2 Showdown (179.88 pts in Week 17).
  • Relegation: the old system relegated Abu Dhabi Astronauts, Cape Town Capers. New AFP bottom 3 = Abu Dhabi Astronauts, Cape Town Capers, Montgomery Murkers — overlaps with history on Abu Dhabi Astronauts, Cape Town Capers; Montgomery Murkers would newly drop (they actually survived).
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
San Diego Bullshitters 96.67 1 Stayed 3 1 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen 80.00 3 Stayed 9 2 ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons 70.00 4 Stayed 9 3 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
New Orleans Hurricanes 86.67 2 Stayed 11 4 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers 43.33 7 Stayed 16 5 ✅ Safe
Dodge City Drug Runners 26.67 9 Stayed 17 6 ⚠️ Bubble
Tuscaloosa Titans 53.33 6 Stayed 20 7 ⚠️ Bubble
Montgomery Murkers 53.33 5 Stayed 23 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Abu Dhabi Astronauts 30.00 8 Relegated to Second 27 9 ❌ RELEGATED
Cape Town Capers 10.00 10 Relegated to Second 30 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['Huntsville Hitmen', 'El Paso Pythons'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 San Diego Bullshitters 142.8 168.7 152.5 201.8 220.2 156.3 197.7 188.0 207.5 178.9 213.7 233.8 221.7 232.1* 264.0 188.8 179.9
#2 El Paso Pythons 212.6 215.9 209.1 168.5 135.9 199.8 157.9 202.0 156.4 177.9 209.9 220.1 187.5 142.1 150.8 210.3 168.6
#3 Huntsville Hitmen 182.7 230.6 214.9 151.0 191.0 209.0 143.7 222.2 166.0 255.3 161.8 215.4 204.4 147.6 177.7 193.8 132.5
#4 New Orleans Hurricanes 162.6 194.5 198.2 182.4 221.6 155.2 171.7 203.1 169.3 174.4 182.5 224.7 214.9 227.2* 179.3 149.5 177.9
#5 Birmingham Maulers 136.2 181.7 221.5 210.9 197.3 183.6 181.9 169.4 204.9 167.3 145.1 157.8 213.2 221.7 189.1 157.2 229.6
#6 Tuscaloosa Titans 152.6 154.9 216.3 207.6 195.8 186.1 182.0 193.1 146.1 171.0 169.1 169.8 142.8 176.4 150.4 165.0 190.1
#7 Dodge City Drug Runners 163.0 137.6 194.3 236.0 159.5 190.8 157.5 173.7 182.9 148.0 197.4 213.8 180.2 212.5 216.3 253.1 260.9
#8 Montgomery Murkers 220.6 181.2 163.7 189.9 207.7 153.5 125.5 219.4 170.5 148.1 196.2 200.3 187.1 140.9 97.6 197.5 167.4
#9 Abu Dhabi Astronauts 155.8 182.5 214.6 167.8 168.5 187.3 189.6 202.5 146.0 161.7 209.0 158.4 142.6 173.3 152.4 152.7 188.7
#10 Cape Town Capers 184.1 151.4 184.4 144.3 171.1 161.3 209.5 175.8 150.2 225.5 154.2 168.2 157.0 166.6 183.5 169.0 139.4