3.3 2022 — Third Division (Tier 3)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | Damascus Jerboas            | 12-4   | 1        |   2184.70 | 1       |  136.54 |  +116.00
#2   | Philly Broad St. Bullies    | 11-5   | 2        |   2107.84 | 3       |  131.74 |  +335.10
#3   | Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas   | 10-6   | 3        |   2083.54 | 4       |  130.22 |  +142.10
#4   | DC Sharks                   | 9-7    | 4        |   2168.58 | 2       |  135.54 |  +252.66
#5   | Seattle Stingers            | 8-8    | 5        |   2074.56 | 5       |  129.66 |   -75.60
#6   | Shreveport Snakes           | 8-8    | 6        |   2025.50 | 6       |  126.59 |   +92.92
#7   | Norwalk Creatures           | 8-8    | 7        |   1969.22 | 7       |  123.08 |   -42.08
#8   | Nashville Scorpions         | 6-10   | 8        |   1926.88 | 8       |  120.43 |  -198.24
#9   | Daphne Dragons              | 4-12   | 9        |   1843.40 | 9       |  115.21 |  -264.74
#10  | LA Jaguars                  | 4-12   | 10       |   1606.76 | 10      |  100.42 |  -358.12

Week 14 byes (constructed): Damascus Jerboas and Philly Broad St. Bullies sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
Damascus Jerboas 94.48 104.78 L (vs Philly Broad St. Bullies)
Philly Broad St. Bullies 57.50 134.60 W (vs Damascus Jerboas)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • Damascus Jerboas (104.78): QB: Josh Allen (21.6), RB: Josh Jacobs (19.4), WR: DeVonta Smith (17.4), WR: Amari Cooper (6.2), TE: George Kittle (6.8), FLEX: Gerald Everett (7.8), K: Matt Gay (6.5), DEF: BUF D/ST (19.1) [empty: RB]
  • Philly Broad St. Bullies (134.60): QB: Brock Purdy (23.7), RB: Dameon Pierce (11.8), RB: Saquon Barkley (6.8), WR: Tyreek Hill (24.1), WR: Michael Gallup (6.0), TE: David Njoku (18.7), FLEX: DeAndre Hopkins (12.9), K: Tyler Bass (10.7), DEF: SF D/ST (19.9)

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 Damascus Jerboas (111.22)  vs  #2 Philly Broad St. Bullies (82.68)| Damascus Jerboas: 1st, Philly Broad St. Bullies: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas (120.82)  vs  #4 DC Sharks (112.90)| Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas: 3rd, DC Sharks: 4th
Top half                  | #5 Seattle Stingers (119.98)  vs  #6 Shreveport Snakes (89.08)  | Seattle Stingers: 5th, Shreveport Snakes: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 Norwalk Creatures (109.28)  vs  #8 Nashville Scorpions (120.30)| Nashville Scorpions: 7th, Norwalk Creatures: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Daphne Dragons (145.86)  vs  #10 LA Jaguars (40.88)          | Daphne Dragons: 9th, LA Jaguars: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Damascus Jerboas            |   1 |   1 |   1 |    3 |     1 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Philly Broad St. Bullies    |   2 |   3 |   2 |    7 |     2 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
DC Sharks                   |   4 |   2 |   4 |   10 |     3 | ✅ Safe
Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas   |   3 |   4 |   3 |   10 |     4 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Seattle Stingers            |   5 |   5 |   5 |   15 |     5 | ✅ Safe
Shreveport Snakes           |   6 |   6 |   6 |   18 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
Norwalk Creatures           |   7 |   7 |   8 |   22 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
Nashville Scorpions         |   8 |   8 |   7 |   23 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Daphne Dragons              |   9 |   9 |   9 |   27 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
LA Jaguars                  |  10 |  10 |  10 |   30 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ Nashville Scorpions, Daphne Dragons, LA Jaguars drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was Damascus Jerboas — the new format agrees: they win the #1v#2 Showdown (111.22 pts in Week 17).
  • Relegation: Daphne Dragons, LA Jaguars, Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas, Nashville Scorpions, Shreveport Snakes left the league (franchise exit, not AFP relegation). New AFP bottom 3 = Daphne Dragons, LA Jaguars, Nashville Scorpions — overlaps with history on Daphne Dragons, LA Jaguars, Nashville Scorpions; Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas, Shreveport Snakes would have been spared.
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
Damascus Jerboas 100.00 1 Promoted to Second 3 1 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
Philly Broad St. Bullies 80.00 3 Promoted to Second 7 2 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
DC Sharks 83.33 2 Promoted to Second 10 3 ✅ Safe
Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas 60.00 5 Left league 10 4 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Seattle Stingers 73.33 4 Stayed 15 5 ✅ Safe
Shreveport Snakes 53.33 6 Left league 18 6 ⚠️ Bubble
Norwalk Creatures 40.00 7 Stayed 22 7 ⚠️ Bubble
Nashville Scorpions 26.67 8 Left league 23 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Daphne Dragons 13.33 10 Left league 27 9 ❌ RELEGATED
LA Jaguars 20.00 9 Left league 30 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['DC Sharks', 'Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 Damascus Jerboas 144.6 199.1 141.6 121.7 165.1 121.9 164.5 110.4 102.6 109.5 140.9 155.0 115.8 104.8* 147.7 139.6 111.2
#2 Philly Broad St. Bullies 136.3 162.5 153.2 130.6 123.9 96.6 120.9 167.5 133.8 127.1 131.6 158.8 107.3 134.6* 117.4 105.8 82.7
#3 Miami Lemon Peppa Steppas 173.0 185.0 123.0 116.5 139.7 130.9 107.5 112.4 152.1 140.2 67.8 144.6 113.7 111.6 133.2 132.3 120.8
#4 DC Sharks 125.6 124.1 108.6 128.3 181.9 131.8 126.4 94.7 157.0 116.5 152.7 150.1 163.0 162.1 111.8 134.1 112.9
#5 Seattle Stingers 142.8 117.5 116.2 178.3 126.0 136.1 117.4 164.0 99.7 99.0 119.3 129.0 147.7 116.1 138.8 126.8 120.0
#6 Shreveport Snakes 131.1 123.8 107.6 137.6 116.1 114.7 102.4 183.2 137.0 149.0 139.7 90.7 143.2 93.8 140.2 115.5 89.1
#7 Norwalk Creatures 91.3 115.7 113.1 116.0 159.3 100.2 159.1 148.7 104.9 120.0 112.8 138.5 104.1 121.9 135.3 128.4 109.3
#8 Nashville Scorpions 133.5 149.2 120.1 94.3 122.1 82.5 93.1 116.8 124.6 148.2 138.5 150.7 153.4 89.9 130.9 79.1 120.3
#9 Daphne Dragons 109.0 102.6 113.2 135.3 133.2 114.0 122.0 130.3 180.1 97.3 105.8 107.6 48.0 106.2 120.7 117.9 145.9
#10 LA Jaguars 103.3 134.6 106.8 115.8 99.4 124.6 123.1 80.2 76.5 81.8 61.7 94.2 106.3 114.4 85.3 98.7 40.9