3.1 2022 — Elite Division (Tier 1)#

Part 1 — Regular Season Standings Going Into the Showdown (after Week 16)#

Seed | Team                        | Record | H2H Rank |  Total PF | PF Rank |   PF/Gm |   Margin
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#1   | Montgomery Murkers          | 11-5   | 1        |   2815.08 | 1       |  175.94 |  +274.82
#2   | El Paso Pythons             | 11-5   | 2        |   2780.52 | 2       |  173.78 |  +206.12
#3   | New Orleans Hurricanes      | 9-7    | 3        |   2589.60 | 5       |  161.85 |   -80.82
#4   | Huntsville Hitmen           | 9-7    | 4        |   2448.84 | 8       |  153.05 |    -0.06
#5   | Cape Town Capers            | 8-8    | 5        |   2669.34 | 3       |  166.83 |  +123.44
#6   | Aurora Light Show           | 8-8    | 6        |   2428.82 | 9       |  151.80 |   -16.18
#7   | Birmingham Maulers          | 7-9    | 7        |   2625.02 | 4       |  164.06 |   +31.58
#8   | San Diego Bullshitters      | 7-9    | 8        |   2558.00 | 6       |  159.88 |  -146.72
#9   | Dodge City Drug Runners     | 7-9    | 9        |   2520.42 | 7       |  157.53 |   +19.12
#10  | Bethlehem BBLs              | 3-13   | 10       |   2337.88 | 10      |  146.12 |  -411.30

Week 14 byes (constructed): El Paso Pythons and Montgomery Murkers sat out the real Week 14 under the old format. Per the brief, each was given the highest-scoring legal lineup achievable from its reconstructed Week-14 roster, and the two were paired as each other's simulated opponent:

Team Real (unset) Wk-14 lineup Constructed optimal Result
El Paso Pythons 154.06 198.46 W (vs Montgomery Murkers)
Montgomery Murkers 128.66 150.26 L (vs El Paso Pythons)

Constructed optimal lineups:

  • El Paso Pythons (198.46): QB: Geno Smith (23.6), RB: Christian McCaffrey (29.3), RB: Travis Etienne (3.2), WR: A.J. Brown (17.0), WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown (13.4), WR: Jaylen Waddle (5.1), TE: Evan Engram (39.2), FLEX: Stefon Diggs (6.7), K: Jason Myers (5.7), DEF: NE D/ST (28.8), IDP_FLEX: C.J. Mosley (11.0), IDP_FLEX: Maxx Crosby (15.5)
  • Montgomery Murkers (150.26): QB: Kyler Murray (0.7), RB: Derrick Henry (20.5), RB: Saquon Barkley (6.8), WR: Tyreek Hill (24.1), WR: Julio Jones (8.8), WR: Amari Cooper (6.2), TE: Tyler Higbee (3.1), FLEX: Ezekiel Elliott (18.1), K: Daniel Carlson (12.9), DEF: BUF D/ST (19.1), IDP_FLEX: Bobby Wagner (15.0), IDP_FLEX: Foyesade Oluokun (15.0)

Part 2 — Week 17 Seeding Showdown#

Matchup                   | Game                                                            | Placement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Championship              | #1 Montgomery Murkers (120.50)  vs  #2 El Paso Pythons (151.30) | El Paso Pythons: 1st, Montgomery Murkers: 2nd
Podium (3rd place)        | #3 New Orleans Hurricanes (145.22)  vs  #4 Huntsville Hitmen (177.62)| Huntsville Hitmen: 3rd, New Orleans Hurricanes: 4th
Top half                  | #5 Cape Town Capers (128.28)  vs  #6 Aurora Light Show (121.90) | Cape Town Capers: 5th, Aurora Light Show: 6th
Mid-table                 | #7 Birmingham Maulers (98.78)  vs  #8 San Diego Bullshitters (113.06)| San Diego Bullshitters: 7th, Birmingham Maulers: 8th
Relegation death match    | #9 Dodge City Drug Runners (186.58)  vs  #10 Bethlehem BBLs (95.60)| Dodge City Drug Runners: 9th, Bethlehem BBLs: 10th

All Week-17 scores are the teams' real recorded lineups for NFL Week 17 of that season.

Part 3 — Final AFP Table & Relegation Verdict#

Team                        | H2H |  PF |  SD |  AFP | AFPrk | Status
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Montgomery Murkers          |   1 |   1 |   2 |    4 |     1 | 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons             |   2 |   2 |   1 |    5 |     2 | 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
New Orleans Hurricanes      |   3 |   5 |   4 |   12 |     3 | ✅ Safe
Cape Town Capers            |   5 |   3 |   5 |   13 |     4 | ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen           |   4 |   8 |   3 |   15 |     5 | 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers          |   7 |   4 |   8 |   19 |     6 | ⚠️ Bubble
San Diego Bullshitters      |   8 |   6 |   7 |   21 |     7 | ⚠️ Bubble
Aurora Light Show           |   6 |   9 |   6 |   21 |     8 | ❌ RELEGATED
Dodge City Drug Runners     |   9 |   7 |   9 |   25 |     9 | ❌ RELEGATED
Bethlehem BBLs              |  10 |  10 |  10 |   30 |    10 | ❌ RELEGATED

Relegation verdict: ❌ Aurora Light Show, Dodge City Drug Runners, Bethlehem BBLs drop (bottom 3 AFP).

Versus actual history (old format)#

  • Title: actual champion was Huntsville Hitmen — under the new format El Paso Pythons is champion instead. Huntsville Hitmen was only the #4 seed after 16 weeks, so they never got a title-shot matchup (final placement: #3).
  • Relegation: the old system relegated Aurora Light Show, Bethlehem BBLs. New AFP bottom 3 = Aurora Light Show, Bethlehem BBLs, Dodge City Drug Runners — overlaps with history on Aurora Light Show, Bethlehem BBLs; Dodge City Drug Runners would newly drop (they actually survived).
Team Old AFP (site) Old rank Actual outcome (next season) New AFP New rank New status
Montgomery Murkers 93.33 1 Stayed 4 1 🥈 Runner-up · ✅ Safe
El Paso Pythons 90.00 2 Stayed 5 2 🏆 CHAMPION · ✅ Safe
New Orleans Hurricanes 56.67 6 Stayed 12 3 ✅ Safe
Cape Town Capers 70.00 3 Stayed 13 4 ✅ Safe
Huntsville Hitmen 56.67 5 Stayed 15 5 🥉 Podium (3rd) · ✅ Safe
Birmingham Maulers 40.00 8 Stayed 19 6 ⚠️ Bubble
San Diego Bullshitters 60.00 4 Stayed 21 7 ⚠️ Bubble
Aurora Light Show 26.67 9 Relegated to Second 21 8 ❌ RELEGATED
Dodge City Drug Runners 40.00 7 Stayed 25 9 ❌ RELEGATED
Bethlehem BBLs 16.67 10 Relegated to Second 30 10 ❌ RELEGATED

Engine notes: AFP tie among ['San Diego Bullshitters', 'Aurora Light Show'] broken by raw PF

Weekly score matrix (Weeks 1–16 regular season + Week 17 Showdown)#

* = constructed optimal lineup (Week-14 bye rule). Bold pair weeks 14–17 included consolation/idle games now counting as regular season.

Seed / Team W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17
#1 Montgomery Murkers 178.0 204.2 158.3 189.0 178.4 143.7 160.5 187.6 170.6 173.1 178.7 152.3 185.8 150.3* 183.4 221.4 120.5
#2 El Paso Pythons 178.5 229.8 185.9 144.3 128.5 173.6 121.5 244.7 188.6 153.6 156.9 162.1 177.9 198.5* 197.9 138.3 151.3
#3 New Orleans Hurricanes 139.0 162.7 135.7 122.8 180.3 179.3 153.0 188.5 152.5 179.9 165.9 138.1 176.5 146.6 156.8 212.0 145.2
#4 Huntsville Hitmen 185.6 156.3 174.0 153.2 167.8 128.2 129.7 186.7 109.3 122.8 151.2 114.8 159.8 177.9 195.2 136.5 177.6
#5 Cape Town Capers 169.3 122.4 125.5 178.0 144.7 135.6 188.3 162.5 171.9 198.4 168.3 193.8 171.8 156.8 191.3 190.8 128.3
#6 Aurora Light Show 189.0 192.2 118.6 189.5 152.4 128.5 163.5 168.3 104.4 120.3 159.5 151.9 129.4 183.9 132.5 145.0 121.9
#7 Birmingham Maulers 158.1 134.9 155.6 160.1 189.0 190.6 181.5 95.7 164.6 170.8 156.7 175.0 183.5 172.9 194.5 141.5 98.8
#8 San Diego Bullshitters 175.9 209.9 133.4 179.7 161.1 152.1 199.5 150.3 135.4 163.3 172.1 152.7 123.9 181.2 132.7 134.8 113.1
#9 Dodge City Drug Runners 141.8 127.7 132.4 172.1 168.6 155.1 167.7 119.2 171.8 169.2 155.7 233.8 175.0 192.6 132.3 105.4 186.6
#10 Bethlehem BBLs 148.6 127.0 170.0 160.4 139.2 104.2 128.2 160.4 180.6 152.3 191.7 158.8 171.8 128.9 115.9 100.0 95.6